25 ãéëì óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, ÷åô÷ø òïóôá: æáúá íáëóéíõíá ïâúïò óïóôïñîéñ óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, çåïüææåëôé÷îùè ñ÷ìåîéê é éè ÷ïúäåêóô÷éê îá ïëïìïúåíîïå ëïóíéþåóëïå ðòïóôòáîóô÷ï îá ðåòéïä 05.08.2024 - 11.08.2024 Ç. é ðòïçîïú îá 12.08.2024 - 19.08.2024 Ç. ëüòòéîçôïîï÷óëéê ïâïòïô 2287(27,11.07.2024) úåíìñ ÷îå ðìïóëïóôé óïìîåþîïçï üë÷áôïòá (BÏ: (+6.1 - +6.5) ÇÒÁÄ) (ÚÏÎÁ ÇÅÏÜÆÆÅËÔÉ×ÎÏÓÔÉ S24 - N36) ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø óïìîãá âùìá îá ÷ùóïëïí é ïþåîø ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îñè. òáóþ³ôîïå óòåäîåå úîáþåîéå íåöäõîáòïäîïçï ïôîïóéôåìøîïçï þéóìá óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá ðåòéïä óïóôá÷éìï W= 258+124/-69 (WÓ=172+82/-46). îá ÷éäéíïí äéóëå óïìîãá îáâìàäáìïóø 15 çòõðð ðñôåî (AR13780 - ïþåîø âïìøûïê ðìïýáäé, AR13772, AR13774, AR13777, AR13784 - óòåäîåê), éú îéè 8 îáèïäéìéóø ÷ àöîïí ðïìõûáòéé. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ïöéäáåôóñ îá ÷ùóïëïí é ïþåîø ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îñè. óòåäîåå ïöéäáåíïå úîáþåîéå þéóìá óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá ðåòéïä W=200+60/-60. ÷ ôåþåîéå îåäåìé ÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø âùìá îá ÷ùóïëïí é óòåäîåí õòï÷îñè. úá ðåòéïä îáâìàäáìéóø 3 ÷óðùûëé òåîôçåîï÷óëïçï ëìáóóá X, 34 ÷óðùûëé ëìáóóá M, éú îéè 3 âïìøûéè (>M5), 84 ÷óðùûëé ëìáóóá C, 3 ÷ùâòïóá óïìîåþîùè ÷ïìïëïî é 53 ëïòïîáìøîùè ÷ùâòïóá ÷åýåóô÷á, éú ëïôïòùè 1 âùì ôéðá III (ÕÇÌÏ×ÁÑ ÛÉÒÉÎÁ 180-270 ÇÒÁÄ) é 5 - ôéðá II (90- 180 ÇÒÁÄ). -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ÷óðùûëé âáììï÷ ïô í1 (É ÏÔÄÅÌØÎÙÅ ÚÎÁÞÉÍÙÅ ×ÓÐÙÛÅÞÎÙÅ ÓÏÂÙÔÉÑ ÍÅÎØÛÅÇÏ ÂÁÌÌÁ): to tm te ËÏÏÒÄÉÎÁÔÙ ÂÁÌÌ å(1-8A) AO RII/IV CME/to ÒÅÎÔ/ÏÐ J/m-2 km/s 20240805 0222 0231 0239 S10E63L173 M1.2/SF 5.5E-03 13780 II/2|314 20240805 0513 0523 0529 S09E62L173 M6.1/1N 1.8E-02 13780 II/3|443 20240805 0949 1001 1009 S09W88L318 M1.7 1.2E-02 13767 20240805 1324 1340 1356 S10W88L318 X1.7 1.9E-01 13767 II/2|171 CMEIII/1348 20240805 1517 1527 1541 S09E56L173 X1.1/2B 4.0E-02 13780 II/2|925 CMEII/1548 20240805 1756 1802 1809 S09W88L318 M1.0 6.1E-03 13767 20240805 1820 1837 1857 S06E53L173 M1.2/1F 1.1E-02 13780 20240806 0250 0303 0308 N12E65L164 M1.2 8.0E-03 13781 20240807 0221 0230 0246 S10W16L226 M1.8/1N 1.4E-02 13774 II/2|370 20240807 0452 0457 0501 N13E52L164 M1.1/1N 3.8E-03 13781 20240807 1330 1350 1358 S11W23L226 M4.5 3.2E-02 13774 II/2|305 CME/1412 20240807 1831 1854 2018 S05W08L209 M5.0/2B 6.7E-02 13777 II/1|792 CMEII/1900 20240808 0049 0106 0117 S10W02L209 M2.1/SF 2.2E-02 13777 20240808 0327 0440 0509 S04W14L209 M1.3 5.5E-02 13777 CME/0441 20240808 1124 1142 1214 S07W19L209 M1.6/1N 3.1E-03 13777 20240808 1204 1213 1229 N14E34L164 M1.0/1F 13781 20240808 1256 1300 1345 N14E34L164 M1.0/SF 4.7E-03 13781 20240808 1336 1343 1352 S11E90 M1.5 1.1E-02 20240808 1901 1935 1957 S04W22L209 X1.3/2B 2.1E-01 13777 II/2|1026 CMEII/1948 20240808 2246 2251 2256 S13E18L173 M1.2 5.4E-03 13780 20240809^1041 1117 1135 S09W28L209 M1.2/SF 2.2E-02 13777 20240809^1101 1117 1135 S14E10L173 /SF 12780 20240809 1156 1206 1220 S08E06L173 M1.4/1F 1.1E-02 13780 II/2|786 20240809 1238 1243 1301 N14E21L164 M1.0/SF 1.0E-02 13781 20240809 1251 1259 1330 S13E08L173 M1.0/SF 7.3E-03 13780 20240809*2027 2037 2054 S07W39L209 M1.0/2N 1.6E-02 13777 20240809*2110 2123 2328 S04W40L226 M4.6/2N 6.7E-02 13774 II/2|606 CMEII/2148 20240809 2150 2203 2321 N13E64L115 M2.9 13784 20240809 2343 2350 2359 S11E03L173 M1.1/SN 6.4E-03 13780 IV/1 20240810 0052 0102 0107 S10E00L173 M1.3 5.0E-03 13780 20240810 0214 0237 0400 S07W01L173 M5.3/2N 7.2E-02 13780 CME/0254 20240810 0403 0411 0426 S14E01L173 M1.6/SF 1.4E-02 13780 20240810 1405 1439 1510 S15W02L173 M1.3/SF 13780 20240810 1511 1516 1533 N01E34L134 M1.2/SN 6.1E-03 13782 20240811 0022 0031 0048 S15W10L173 M1.1 1.4E-02 13780 20240811 0523 0528 0547 S15W13L173 M1.6/1N 9.3E-03 13780 20240811 1957 2018 2050 S09W57L209 M1.7/1F 3.0E-02 13777 20240811 2340 2358 0026 S14W21L173 M1.3 2.2E-03 13780 * - ÎÅÓËÏÌØËÏ ÒÅÎÔÇÅÎÏ×ÓËÉÈ ×ÓÐÌÅÓËÏ× × ÏÄÎÏÊ ÏÐÔÉÞÅÓËÏÊ ×ÓÐÙÛËÅ ^ - ÏÄÎÏ×ÒÅÍÅÎÎÙÅ ×ÓÐÙÛËÉ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ÷ùâòïóù óïìîåþîùè ÷ïìïëïî: Bó÷* to te localization l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl AO CMEÔÉÐ/to 20240805 >0008 >1350 N55E67L175 17 20240807 0058 N24W14L229 6 13775 CME/0212 20240810 >0052 >1329 N41W60L236 7 13784 * - ×ÙÂÒÏÓÙ ÓÏÌÎÅÞÎÙÈ ×ÏÌÏËÏÎ (DSF, EPL) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ïöéäáåôóñ îá óòåäîåí é ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îñè. îá ÷éäéíïí äéóëå óïìîãá îáâìàäáìéóø çåïüææåëôé÷îùå ëïòïîáìøîùå äùòù ó ëïïòäéîáôáíé: ÚÎÁË N ËÏÎÅà å ËÏÎÅà S ËÏÎÅà W ËÏÎÅà Sch ïëð R G KA CH*- N82L106 N60L091 N33L141 N44L145 5.5% 16-17.08 4 0 SDO, HINODE * - ÎÉÚËÁÑ ÇÅÏÜÆÆÅËÔÉ×ÎÏÓÔØ, ×ÏÚÍÏÖÎÙ ÔÏÌØËÏ ÓÕÂÂÕÒÉ Ó ÄÌÉÔ. <6 Þ. Sch - ÐÌÏÝÁÄØ ëä × % ÐÌÏÝÁÄÉ ×ÉÄÉÍÏÊ ÐÏÌÕÓÆÅÒÙ ×ÂÌÉÚÉ ÃÅÎÔÒÁÌØÎÏÇÏ ÍÅÒÉÄÉÁÎÁ ÐÏ https://www.solarmonitor.org/; n/d - ÎÅÔ ÄÁÎÎÙÈ; ïëð - ÄÁÔÁ ×ÅÒÏÑÔÎÏÇÏ ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÏÇÏ ×ÏÚÍÕÝÅÎÉÑ × ïëð; R - ×ÏÚÒÁÓÔ × ÏÂÏÒÏÔÁÈ óÏÌÎÃÁ; G(0-5)- ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÁÑ ×ÏÚÍÕÝ£ÎÎÏÓÔØ ÎÁ ÐÒÏÛÌÏÍ ÏÂÏÒÏÔÅ (ÓÒÅÄÎÉÅ ÛÉÒÏÔÙ); A - ×ÏÚÍÕ- Ý£ÎÎÁÑ ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÁÑ ÏÂÓÔÁÎÏ×ËÁ. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ó 05.08/1830 úåíìñ îáèïäéìáóø "-" óåëôïòå íåöðìáîåôîïçï íáçîéôîïçï ðïìñ, 11.08/1321 UT ðåòåûìá ÷ "+" óåëôïò. óìåäõàýåå ðåòåóåþåîéå óåëôïòîïê çòáîéãù "+/-" ïöéäáåôóñ 16-17 á÷çõóôá. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- á÷çõóô 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 á÷çõóô Wus 189 222 248 337 382 234 194 F10.7 247 270 303 336 306 291 282 Xbcg C3.2 C2.9 C3.0 C4.6 C4.1 C4.8 C3.1 GOES Sp 2200 2520 2725 3230 3260 2630 2500 msh N 0 0 1 2 0 0 4 IMF sign + - - - - - +/- DSCOVR,ACE e>2 9.1E+5 1.3E+6 1.4E+6 1.5E+6 1.7E+6 1.6E+6 1.1E+6 GOES Ie>2 <100 156 114 131 224 138 147 pfu Ap 8 4 5 6 6 6 27 nT Dst -70 nT KIOTO Amsc 12 5 6 9 9 8 32 nT IZMIRAN ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- IÅ>2 - ÐÉËÏ×ÙÊ ÐÏÔÏË ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× Ó å>2 MeV × pfu (e/(cm2-sr-s)) × ÔÅÞÅÎÉÅ ÓÕÔÏË (ÓÏÂÙÔÉÑ Ó ÐÏÔÏËÏÍ >=1000 pfu); e>2 - ÎÁËÏÐÌÅÎÎÙÊ ÚÁ ÓÕÔËÉ ÐÏÔÏË ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× ÎÁ ÇÅÏÓÔÁÃÉÏÎÁÒÎÙÈ ÏÒÂÉÔÁÈ ÐÏ ÄÁÎ- ÎÙÍ ëá GOES × e/(cm2-sr-day). Pr>10 Mev: to 05.08/1635, tmax 05.08/2140, Ipmax 3.58 pfu, te 06.08/0810 ðïôïëï÷ üìåëôòïîï÷ ó å>2 MeV ÷ùûå õòï÷îñ 1000 pfu îå îáâìàäáìïóø. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ÷ïúíïöîï ðòå÷ùûåîéå ðïôïëïí üìåëôòïîï÷ ó å>2 MeV îá çåïóéîèòïîîïê ïòâéôå ðïòïçá 1000 pfu 11 á÷çõóôá ÷ òåúõìøôáôå ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ óíå ïô ÷óðùûåë í1.3 08.08/0440 é è1.3 08.08/1935 îáþáìïóø ÷ïúíõýåîéå çåïíáçîéôîïê ïâóôáîï÷ëé, äïóôéçûåå õòï÷îñ õíåòåîîïê íáçîéôîïê âõòé (G3, Ams=73, ÄÌÉÔ>30 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ âïõìäåòå), (G3, Ams=71, ÄÌÉÔ>30 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ ðïôóäáíå) é íáìïê íáçîéôîïê âõòé (G2, Ams= 49, ÄÌÉÔ>30 Þ ðï äáîîùí éúíéòáî). îá äáîîùê íïíåîô âõòñ ðòïäïìöáåôóñ. ÷ ïóôáìøîïå ÷òåíñ çåïíáçîéôîáñ ïâóôá- îï÷ëá íåîñìáóø ïô óðïëïêîïê äï óìáâï÷ïúíõýåîîïê. 12-13 á÷çõóôá ïöéäáåôóñ ðòïäïìöåîéå íáçîéôîïê âõòé ÷óìåäóô÷éå ðòéèïäá óíå ïô ÷óðùûëé í5.3 ïô 10.08/0237. 16-17 á÷çõóôá ó îåâïìøûïê ÷åòïñôîïóôøà ÷ïúíïöîï õ÷åìéþåîéå áëôé÷îïóôé äï ÷ïúíõýåîîïçï õòï÷îñ éú-úá ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ ÷ùóïëïóëïòïóôîïçï ðïôïëá ïô ïôòéãáôåìøîïê ÷ùóïëïûéòïôîïê ëïòïîáìøîïê äùòù ÷ óå÷åòîïí ðïìõûáòéé. ÷ï ÷ôïòïê ðïìï÷é- îå îåäåìé îå éóëìàþåîù íáçîéôîùå âõòé éú-úá ÷ùóïëïçï ÷óðùûåþîïçï ðïôåîãéáìá çåïüææåë- ôé÷îï òáóðïìïöåîîùè áëôé÷îùè ïâìáóôåê. ïâúïò é ðòïçîïú óïóôá÷ìåî ðï íáôåòéáìáí óìõöâù óïìîãá âïõìäåò, óûá http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ ãåîôòá óâïòá é ïâòáâïôëé óïìîåþîùè éîäåëóï÷, âòàóóåìø, âåìøçéñ http://sidc.oma.be/, éúíéòáî (ôòïéãë, òïóóéñ) http://www.izmiran.ru. ÷.î.éÛËÏ×, î.é.ìÅÂÅÄÅ×, í.î.ìÅÂÅÄÅ×