25 ãéëì óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, ÷åô÷ø òïóôá: æáúá íáëóéíõíá óòåäîåíåóñþîïå íåöäõîáòïäîïå ïôîïóéôåìøîïå þéóìï óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá éàìø 2024 Ç. WÉÀÌ = 196.5 130.7 (× ÓÔÁÒÏÊ ÓÉÓÔÅÍÅ) þôï äá³ô äìñ 49 íåóñãá (2024, ñî÷áòø) òáú÷éôéñ ôåëõýåçï 25 ãéëìá óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé óçìáöåîîïå óòåäîåíåóñþîïå þéóìï ðñôåî W*ÑÎ× = 131.1 87.2 (× ÓÔÁÒÏÊ ÓÉÓÔÅÍÅ) W*ÄÅË = 129.4 86.1 (× ÓÔÁÒÏÊ ÓÉÓÔÅÍÅ) ó 1 ÉÀÌÑ 2015 Ç. ãÅÎÔÒ × âÒÀÓÓÅÌÅ ÐÅÒÅÛ£Ì ÎÁ ÎÏ×ÕÀ ÓÉÓÔÅÍÕ ÐÏÄÓÞ£ÔÁ ÏÔÎÏÓÉÔÅÌØÎÙÈ ÞÉÓÅÌ ÓÏÌÎÅÞÎÙÈ ÐÑÔÅÎ É, ÐÒÁËÔÉÞÅÓËÉ, ×ÓÅ ÚÎÁÞÅÎÉÑ ÓÍÅÎÉÌÉÓØ ×Ï ×Ó£Í ÐÒÏÎÕÍÅÒÏ×ÁÎÎÏÍ ÒÑÄÅ ÞÉÓÅÌ ÷ÏÌØÆÁ. [åÖÅÄÎÅ×ÎÏÅ, ÓÒÅÄÎÅÍÅÓÑÞÎÏÅ É ÓÇÌÁÖÅÎÎÏÅ ÚÎÁÞÅÎÉÑ W × ÓÔÁÒÏÊ ÓÉÓÔÅÍÅ, ÂÌÉÚËÉÅ Ë ÉÓÔÉÎÎÙÍ, ÍÏÖÎÏ ÐÏÌÕÞÉÔØ ÕÍÎÏÖÅÎÉÅÍ ÎÁ ËÏÜÆÆÉÃÉÅÎÔ k=0.665] îáþáìï 25 ãéëìá óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé-ñî÷áòø 2020 Ç., W*min=1.8 (1.2Ó); ÷îéíáîéå!!! - ÔÏÞËÁ ÍÉÎÉÍÕÍÁ ÃÉËÌÁ - ÜÔÏ ÐÏÓÌÅÄÎÉÊ ÍÅÓÑà ×ÅÔ×É ÓÐÁÄÁ, É ÐÏÔÏÍÕ ÏÞÅÒÅÄÎÏÊ ÓÏÌÎÅÞÎÙÊ ÃÉËÌ ÎÁÞÉÎÁÅÔÓÑ ÓÏ ÓÌÅÄÕÀÝÅÇÏ ÍÅÓÑÃÁ ÐÏÓÌÅ ÔÏÞËÉ ÍÉÎÉÍÕÍÁ. æáúá íéîéíõíá 25 ãéëìá óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé - 2020 01 - 2021 10; ÷òåíñ íáëóéíõíá ôåëõýåçï 25 ãéëìá óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé - íáòô-éàîø 2024 Ç., W*max=135-150 (90-100 × ÓÔÁÒÏÊ ÓÉÓÔÅÍÅ); ëïîåã 25 ãéëìá óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé (ôïþëá íéîéíõíá) - I - VI 2031 Ç. åöåäîå÷îïå íåöäõîáòïäîïå ïôîïóéôåìøîïå þéóìï óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá éàìø 2024 Ç. óïçìáóîï äáîîùí 60 óïìîåþîùè ïâóåò÷áôïòéê: 1..197 6..127 11..173 16..285 21..221 26..195 31..270 2..197 7..122 12..166 17..283 22..171 27..210 3..178 8..112m 13..173 18..290M 23..174 28..201 4..138 9..141 14..212 19..273 24..170 29..214 5..137 10..184 15..243 20..227 25..179 30..230 óòåäîåíåóñþîùê îáâìàäáåíùê ðïôïë òáäéïéúìõþåîéñ îá 10.7 ÓÍ (2800 MHz) úá éàìø 2024 Ç. é óçìáöåîîùê úá ñî÷áòø 2024 Ç. F10.7ÉÀÌ = 198.6 F*10.7ÑÎ× = 165.1 óòåäîåíåóñþîùê áÒ-éîäåëó úá éàìø 2024 Ç. é óçìáöåîîùê úá ñî÷áòø 2024 Ç ðï äáîîùí çåïíáçîéôîïçï ãåîôòá ÷ ðïôóäáíå áÒ ÉÀÌ = 7.0 áÒ*ÑÎ× = 10.4 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 25 ãéëì óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, ÷åô÷ø òïóôá: æáúá íáëóéíõíá ïâúïò óïóôïñîéñ óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, çåïüææåëôé÷îùè ñ÷ìåîéê é éè ÷ïúäåêóô÷éê îá ïëïìïúåíîïå ëïóíéþåóëïå ðòïóôòáîóô÷ï îá ðåòéïä 29.07.2024 - 04.08.2024 Ç. é ðòïçîïú îá 05.08.2024 - 12.08.2024 Ç. ëüòòéîçôïîï÷óëéê ïâïòïô 2287(27,11.07.2024) úåíìñ ÷îå ðìïóëïóôé óïìîåþîïçï üë÷áôïòá (BÏ: (+5.6 - +6.1) ÇÒÁÄ) (ÚÏÎÁ ÇÅÏÜÆÆÅËÔÉ×ÎÏÓÔÉ S24 - N36) ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø óïìîãá âùìá îá ÷ùóïëïí é ïþåîø ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îñè. òáóþ³ôîïå óòåäîåå úîáþåîéå íåöäõîáòïäîïçï ïôîïóéôåìøîïçï þéóìá óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá ðåòéïä óïóôá÷éìï W= 235+36/-41 (WÓ=156+24/-27). îá ÷éäéíïí äéóëå óïìîãá îáâìàäáìïóø 19 çòõðð ðñôåî (AR13765, AR13768, AR13772, AR13774 - óòåäîåê ðìïýáäé), éú îéè 13 îáèïäéìéóø ÷ àöîïí ðïìõûáòéé. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ïöéäáåôóñ îá ÷ùóïëïí é ïþåîø ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îñè. óòåäîåå ïöéäáåíïå úîáþåîéå þéóìá óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá ðåòéïä W=180+40/-40. ÷ ôåþåîéå îåäåìé ÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø âùìá îá ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îå. úá ðåòéïä îáâìàäáìéóø 1 ÷óðùûëá òåîôçåîï÷óëïçï ëìáóóá X, 68 ÷óðùûåë ëìáóóá M, éú îéè 11 âïìøûéè (>M5), 66 ÷óðùûåë ëìáóóá C, 12 ÷ùâòïóï÷ óïìîåþîùè ÷ïìïëïî é 61 ëïòïîáìøîùê ÷ùâòïó ÷åýåóô÷á, éú ëïôïòùè 5 âùìé ôéðá II (ÕÇÌÏ×ÁÑ ÛÉÒÉÎÁ 90-180 ÇÒÁÄ). -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ÷óðùûëé âáììï÷ ïô í1 (É ÏÔÄÅÌØÎÙÅ ÚÎÁÞÉÍÙÅ ×ÓÐÙÛÅÞÎÙÅ ÓÏÂÙÔÉÑ ÍÅÎØÛÅÇÏ ÂÁÌÌÁ): to tm te ËÏÏÒÄÉÎÁÔÙ ÂÁÌÌ å(1-8A) AO RII/IV CME/to ÒÅÎÔ/ÏÐ J/m-2 km/s 20240729 0232 0237 0307 S05W04L341 X1.5/2B 6.7E-02 13764 II/2|535 CMEII/0240 20240729 0510 0520 0528 S16W33L121 M1.0/SF 9.3E-03 13768 20240729 1216 1222 1240 S10W55L019 M1.6/SF 1.0E-02 13762 20240729 1247 1255 1304 S11W50L019 M8.7 5.4E-02 13762 II/2|567 CME/1336 IV/1 20240729 1404 1446 1640 S12W04L328 M4.3/1N 1.0E-01 13765 20240729 1940 1957 2014 S25E90 M6.4 7.1E-02 20240729 2055 2100 2108 S14W48L121 M1.1/SF 7.2E-03 13768 20240730 0052 0103 0120 S11W63L019 M1.7 4.4E-03 13762 20240730 0120 0125 0130 S11W66L019 M1.2 9.7E-03 13762 20240730 0130 0132 0136 S14W51L121 M1.3 5.3E-03 13768 20240730 0135 0140 0144 S05W18L331 M1.4 7.8E-03 13766 20240730 0616 0629 0732 S05W18L331 M1.5/SF 3.6E-03 13766 20240730 1612 1628 1728 S06W21L331 M1.5/1F 3.1E-03 13766 20240730 1910 1920 1933 S04W29L341 M1.9/SN 6.1E-03 13764 20240730*1925 1938 2004 S24E67L250 M9.4/2N 1.6E-01 13772 20240730*2015 2019 2048 S27E64L250 M3.1/2N 13772 20240731 0143 0150 0154 S07W44L352 M2.0 7.4E-03 13773 20240731 0507 0523 0549 S07E88L228 M4.8/SF 4.6E-02 13774 20240731 0628 0646 0658 S15W62L121 M7.7 8.1E-02 13768 CMEII/0712 20240731 1245 1305 1423 S23E55L250 M6.0/1N 1.6E-02 13772 20240731 1326 1332 1337 S07E86L228 M4.4 3.1E-02 13774 20240731 1610 1631 1641 S07E78L228 M1.4 1.8E-02 13774 20240731 1807 1837 1948 S15W72L121 M5.4/SF 1.1E-01 13768 II/2|682 CMEII/1848 IV/2 20240731 2136 2155 2212 S07W22L318 M1.3/1F 3.1E-03 13767 20240731 2242 2250 2259 S06E75L228 M1.0 4.1E-03 13774 20240801 0050 0058 0103 N09W28L327 M1.2 8.2E-03 13770 20240801 0147 0150 0154 S07W59L352 M6.3 2.1E-02 13773 20240801 0211 0225 0233 S11W88L019 M1.0 13762 20240801 0258 0306 0314 S07E72L228 M1.2 9.6E-03 13774 20240801 0359 0416 0423 S07E73L228 M2.0 2.2E-02 13774 20240801 0435 0441 0445 S11W35L328 M4.0 1.3E-02 13765 20240801^0528 0556 0602 S16W74L121 M1.5/SF 7.0E-03 13768 20240801^0552 0556 0601 S12W36L328 /SF 7.0E-03 13765 20240801 0601 0606 0621 S15W74L121 M1.3/SF 13768 20240801*0621 0641 0643 S15W77L121 M1.7/1N 13768 20240801*0643 0709 0749 S15W79L121 M8.2/1N 2.0E-01 13768 II/2|739 CME/0640 IV/2 20240801 1109 1137 1141 S23E45L250 M4.1 6.7E-02 13772 CME/1145 20240801 1604 1615 1621 S04W52L341 M1.1/SF 8.6E-03 13764 20240801 1633 1637 1644 S16W85L121 M1.3 3.4E-03 13768 20240801 1644 1647 1651 S06E63L228 M1.6 13774 20240801 1722 1729 1736 S05E64L228 M1.3/SF 7.1E-03 13774 20240801 2012 2022 2038 S10E61L228 M1.2/SF 1.1E-02 13774 20240801^2300 2308 2317 S04E60L228 M1.4 1.1E-02 13774 20240801^2300 2308>2349 S21E37L250 /SF 1.1E-02 13772 20240802 0154 0201 0208 S08W45L328 M1.0 7.4E-03 13765 20240802 0317 0325 0331 S24E31L250 M1.1 3.1E-03 13772 20240802 0353 0358 0403 S16W87L121 M1.2 5.8E-03 13768 CMEII/0417 20240802 0423 0455 0535 S14W88L121 M7.4 2.3E-01 13768 II/2|438 IV/1 20240802 0751 0759 0805 N17E45L328 M2.2/SF 1.0E-02 13765 20240802 0908 0916 0932 S26E30L250 M1.2/SF 1.2E-02 13772 20240802 0945 0951 0955 S05W57L331 M1.6/SN 8.1E-03 13766 20240802 1228 1233 1239 S07W80L352 M1.2/SF 5.8E-03 13773 20240802 1344 1350 1432 N18E42L237 M1.1/SN 8.7E-03 13775 20240802 1521 1530 1535 S05W61L331 M1.5/SN 9.1E-03 13766 20240802 2341 2358 0014 N12E88 M1.3 2.8E-02 20240803 0022 0027 0032 S10E66L207 M1.0/SF 6.6E-03 13777 20240803 0445 0459 0505 N09W57L327 M1.5/SF 1.1E-02 13770 20240803 0652 0705 0711 S14W88L121 M1.5 4.5E-03 13768 20240803 0711 0730 0734 S10W63L328 M1.9 2.3E-02 13765 20240803 1326 1343 1408 S07E41L228 M1.8/2N 1.9E-02 13774 20240803 1649 1654 1658 N10W64L327 M2.8 2.6E-03 13770 20240803 1713 1726 1734 S06W77L331 M1.9 2.0E-03 13766 20240803 1829 1839 1844 N17E25L237 M7.3 2.6E-02 13775 20240803 1917 1930 1946 N13E88 M5.5 6.0E-02 20240804 0145 0159 0216 N11E89L163 M1.5 2.3E-03 13781 20240804 0935 0944 0948 N12E88L163 M1.2 13781 20240804 0948 1001 1003 S07W88L331 M1.1 5.4E-03 13766 20240804 1003 1008 1012 S06W88L331 M1.4 7.7E-03 13766 20240804 1027 1050 1106 N12E88L163 M2.0 6.0E-02 13781 20240804 1511 1515 1522 S10E70L171 M2.2/SN 7.0E-03 13780 20240804 2204 2211 2216 S10E66L171 M1.0/SN 4.4E-03 13780 II/3|472 * - ÎÅÓËÏÌØËÏ ÒÅÎÔÇÅÎÏ×ÓËÉÈ ×ÓÐÌÅÓËÏ× × ÏÄÎÏÊ ÏÐÔÉÞÅÓËÏÊ ×ÓÐÙÛËÅ ^ - ÏÄÎÏ×ÒÅÍÅÎÎÙÅ ×ÓÐÙÛËÉ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ÷ùâòïóù óïìîåþîùè ÷ïìïëïî: Bó÷* to te localization l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl AO CMEÔÉÐ/to 20240729 <1533 SW quadrant CME/1533 20240730 0050 NE quadrant 20240731 0107 S36W75L023 CME/0150 20240801 <2142 DSF CME/2142 20240802 >0031 >1255 N15E49L233 7 13775 20240802 1712 1853 S17W21L294 20 20240802 2355 E limb 20240803 0145 NW quadrant 20240803 1215 DSF 20240803 1349 DSF 13777 20240804 0020 DSF 13775 20240804 0442 SW limb * - ×ÙÂÒÏÓÙ ÓÏÌÎÅÞÎÙÈ ×ÏÌÏËÏÎ (DSF, EPL) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ïöéäáåôóñ îá ÷ùóïëïí é, ÷ïúíïöîï, ïþåîø ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îñè. îá ÷éäéíïí äéóëå óïìîãá îáâìàäáìéóø çåïüææåëôé÷îùå ëïòïîáìøîùå äùòù ó ëïïòäéîáôáíé: ÚÎÁË N ËÏÎÅà å ËÏÎÅà S ËÏÎÅà W ËÏÎÅà Sch ïëð R G KA CH + N28L209 N23L203 N17L212 N23L217 0.6% 11-12.08 1 - SDO, HINODE Sch - ÐÌÏÝÁÄØ ëä × % ÐÌÏÝÁÄÉ ×ÉÄÉÍÏÊ ÐÏÌÕÓÆÅÒÙ ×ÂÌÉÚÉ ÃÅÎÔÒÁÌØÎÏÇÏ ÍÅÒÉÄÉÁÎÁ ÐÏ https://www.solarmonitor.org/; n/d - ÎÅÔ ÄÁÎÎÙÈ; ïëð - ÄÁÔÁ ×ÅÒÏÑÔÎÏÇÏ ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÏÇÏ ×ÏÚÍÕÝÅÎÉÑ × ïëð; R - ×ÏÚÒÁÓÔ × ÏÂÏÒÏÔÁÈ óÏÌÎÃÁ; G(0-5)- ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÁÑ ×ÏÚÍÕÝ£ÎÎÏÓÔØ ÎÁ ÐÒÏÛÌÏÍ ÏÂÏÒÏÔÅ (ÓÒÅÄÎÉÅ ÛÉÒÏÔÙ); A - ×ÏÚÍÕ- Ý£ÎÎÁÑ ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÁÑ ÏÂÓÔÁÎÏ×ËÁ. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- ó 25.07/1310 UT úåíìñ îáèïäéìáóø ÷ "+" óåëôïòå íåöðìáîåôîïçï íáçîéôîïçï ðïìñ. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ðåòåóåþåîéå óåëôïòîïê çòáîéãù "+/-" ïöéäáåôóñ.5-6 á÷çõóôá, ïâòáôîïå ðåòåóåþåîéå çòáîéãù "-/+".- 10-11 á÷çõóôá. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- éàìø 29 30 31 01 02 03 04 á÷çõóô Wus 211 261 271 260 232 217 194 F10.7 223 220 235 234 247 245 241 Xbcg ó2.4 C3.0 ó4.8 C6.1 ó5.3 ó3.1 C3.2 GOES Sp 1720 1910 2540 2360 1890 1840 1830 msh N 1 2 2 1 2 0 3 IMF sign + +/- + + + + +/- DSCOVR,ACE e>2 2.6E+7 1.4E+6 1.1E+6 1.2E+6 1.0E+6 1.2E+6 8.8E+5 GOES Ie>2 937 154 117 <100 107 108 109 pfu Ap 6 21 14 18 8 8 50 nT Dst -29 -25 -34 -116 nT KIOTO Amsc 7 22 18 17 10 13 42 nT IZMIRAN ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- IÅ>2 - ÐÉËÏ×ÙÊ ÐÏÔÏË ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× Ó å>2 MeV × pfu (e/(cm2-sr-s)) × ÔÅÞÅÎÉÅ ÓÕÔÏË (ÓÏÂÙÔÉÑ Ó ÐÏÔÏËÏÍ >=1000 pfu); e>2 - ÎÁËÏÐÌÅÎÎÙÊ ÚÁ ÓÕÔËÉ ÐÏÔÏË ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× ÎÁ ÇÅÏÓÔÁÃÉÏÎÁÒÎÙÈ ÏÒÂÉÔÁÈ ÐÏ ÄÁÎ- ÎÙÍ ëá GOES × e/(cm2-sr-day). ðïôïëï÷ üìåëôòïîï÷ ó å>2 MeV ÷ùûå õòï÷îñ 1000 pfu îå îáâìàäáìïóø. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ðïôïëï÷ üìåëôòïîï÷ ó å>2 MeV (>1000 pfu) îá çåïóéîèòïîîïê ïòâéôå îå ïöéäáåôóñ. ÷ ôåþåîéå îåäåìé îáâìàäáìéóø íáçîéôîùå âõòé: íáìáñ íáçîéôîáñ âõòñ (G1, Ams=32, ÄÌÉÔ=12 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ âïõìäåòå), (G1, Ams=33, ÄÌÉÔ=12 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ ðïôóäáíå), (G1, Ams=29, ÄÌÉÔ=15 Þ ðï äáîîùí éúíéòáî), ðòïéúïûìá 30 éàìñ ÷óìåäóô÷éå ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ óíå ïô ÷óðùûëé 27.07/0546; íáìáñ íáçîéôîáñ âõòñ (G1, Ams=38, ÄÌÉÔ=18 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ âïõìäåòå), (G1, Ams=31, ÄÌÉÔ=18 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ ðïôóäáíå) é (G1, Ams= 31, ÄÌÉÔ=15 Þ ðï äáîîùí éúíéòáî), ðòïéúïûìá ó 31 éàìñ ðï 1 á÷çõóôá ÷óìåäóô÷éå ëïíðìåëóîïçï ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ óíå ïô 28-29 á÷çõóôá; íáìáñ íáçîéôîáñ âõòñ (G3, Ams=54, ÄÌÉÔ=21 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ âïõìäåòå), (G3, Ams=55, ÄÌÉÔ=21 Þ ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ ðïôóäáíå), (G3, Ams=58, ÄÌÉÔ=15 Þ ðï äáîîùí éúíéòáî), ðòïéúïûìá 4 á÷çõóôá ÷óìåäóô÷éå ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ îåóëïìøëéè óíå ïô ÷óðùûåë, îáâìàäá÷ûéèóñ 31-01 á÷çõóôá; ÷ ïóôáìøîïå ÷òåíñ çåïíáçîéôîáñ ïâóôáîï÷ëá íåîñìáóø ïô óðïëïêîïê äï óìáâï÷ïúíõýåîîïê. ÷ ðåò÷ïê ðïìï÷éîå îåäåìé çåïíáçîéôîáñ ïâóôáîï÷ëá ïöéäáåôóñ ïô óðïëïêîïê äï óìáâï- ÷ïúíõýåîîïê. 11-12 á÷çõóôá ÷ïúíïöîï õ÷åìéþåîéå áëôé÷îïóôé äï ÷ïúíõýåîîïçï õòï÷îñ ÷óìåäóô÷éå ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ ÷ùóïëïóëïòïóôîïçï ðïôïëá ïô ðïìïöéôåìøîïê ëïòïîáìøîïê äùòù ÷ óå÷åòîïí ðïìõûáòéé. ÷ï ÷ôïòïê ðïìï÷éîå îåäåìé îå éóëìàþåîù íáçîéôîùå âõòé éú-úá ÷ùóïëïçï ÷óðùûåþîïçï ðïôåîãéáìá çåïüææåëôé÷îï òáóðïìïöåîîïçï ëïíðìåëóá áëôé÷îùè ïâìáóôåê. ïâúïò é ðòïçîïú óïóôá÷ìåî ðï íáôåòéáìáí óìõöâù óïìîãá âïõìäåò, óûá http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ ãåîôòá óâïòá é ïâòáâïôëé óïìîåþîùè éîäåëóï÷, âòàóóåìø, âåìøçéñ http://sidc.oma.be/, éúíéòáî (ôòïéãë, òïóóéñ) http://www.izmiran.ru. ÷.î.éÛËÏ×, î.é.ìÅÂÅÄÅ×, í.î.ìÅÂÅÄÅ×